Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.002247 0.002374 0.002508 0.002663 0.002835 0.003024 0.003247
2025-03-09 0.002021 0.002190 0.002379 0.002607 0.002879 0.003198 0.003608
2025-03-16 0.001917 0.002121 0.002356 0.002655 0.003032 0.003505 0.004167
2025-03-23 0.001834 0.002061 0.002333 0.002691 0.003165 0.003799 0.004764
2025-03-30 0.001740 0.001978 0.002269 0.002664 0.003207 0.003971 0.005220
2025-04-06 0.001644 0.001883 0.002181 0.002594 0.003179 0.004032 0.005514
2025-04-13 0.001576 0.001819 0.002127 0.002562 0.003196 0.004159 0.005942
2025-04-20 0.001477 0.001711 0.002008 0.002431 0.003056 0.004020 0.005856
2025-04-27 0.001437 0.001675 0.001983 0.002429 0.003104 0.004187 0.006395
2025-05-04 0.001423 0.001673 0.002001 0.002487 0.003250 0.004540 0.007440
2025-05-11 0.001390 0.001643 0.001979 0.002486 0.003300 0.004731 0.008204
2025-05-18 0.001382 0.001646 0.002003 0.002554 0.003469 0.005176 0.009872
2025-05-25 0.001341 0.001605 0.001964 0.002526 0.003481 0.005330 0.010882
2025-06-01 0.001295 0.001554 0.001911 0.002474 0.003446 0.005382 0.011622
2025-06-08 0.001280 0.001546 0.001917 0.002517 0.003587 0.005855 0.014526
2025-06-15 0.001262 0.001534 0.001918 0.002549 0.003712 0.006331 0.018499
2025-06-22 0.001231 0.001502 0.001886 0.002525 0.003724 0.006528 0.021487
2025-06-29 0.001192 0.001456 0.001832 0.002462 0.003653 0.006487 0.022713
2025-07-06 0.001164 0.001426 0.001800 0.002433 0.003647 0.006630 0.026208
2025-07-13 0.001115 0.001363 0.001718 0.002314 0.003448 0.006184 0.022749
2025-07-20 0.001097 0.001346 0.001704 0.002311 0.003490 0.006452 0.028115
2025-07-27 0.001094 0.001349 0.001721 0.002365 0.003656 0.007151 0.047412
2025-08-03 0.001078 0.001333 0.001708 0.002363 0.003704 0.007494 0.071684